Bitcoin’s recovery toward $76,000 is drawing caution from CryptoQuant analysts.Â
Binance data shows flat funding rates, falling taker buy volume, and a record whale ratio, raising questions about the strength behind the rally. CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ said Bitcoin has formed a clean rising structure from its March lows. The price has moved back toward the $76,000 area.
However, Binance funding rates have stayed near zero. The analyst said this shows the move is not being driven by aggressive leveraged long positions.
In stronger bullish trends, rising prices often come with higher funding rates. That pattern has not appeared yet on Binance.
Taker buy volume shows weaker demand
MorenoDV_ also pointed to falling taker buy volume on Binance. This metric tracks aggressive buyers entering the market at current prices.
The analyst said taker buy volume has declined while Bitcoin has moved higher. That means fewer traders are chasing the rally through market buys.
This can suggest quiet accumulation through limit orders. It can also mean the rally is moving on weaker selling pressure, not strong new demand.
Short-term holder level remains key
MorenoDV_ said Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder MVRV is approaching an important trendline. This metric tracks whether recent Bitcoin buyers are in profit or loss.
The analyst said a sustained reclaim of the short-term holder realized price would change market structure. It would move recent buyers from loss into profit.
That shift could reduce pressure from holders trying to exit near break-even. Until then, the analyst said the trendline remains a ceiling, not a support level.
Binance whale ratio hits record high
CryptoQuant analyst CryptoOnchain also warned that Binance’s Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio remains elevated. Its 100-day simple moving average reached 0.494, a record high.
The whale ratio compares the top 10 exchange inflows with total exchange inflows. A higher reading shows that large wallets make up a bigger share of deposits.
As previously reported, the data may point to heavy whale distribution. It also suggests large exchange activity remains a risk while Bitcoin tries to extend its recovery.
The combined data shows a mixed market setup. Bitcoin’s price structure looks stronger, but Binance derivatives and whale metrics show caution.
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